{
  "asof": "2026-11-05T17:18:37Z",
  "nv02ForecasterMatrix": {
    "code": "NV-02",
    "type": "house",
    "winner": "DEM",
    "m": 5.87,
    "p": {
      "ElectIndex": 0.527,
      "Kalshi": 0.488,
      "Polymarket": 0.35,
      "Split Ticket": 0.22,
      "FiftyPlusOne": 0.292,
      "Decision Desk HQ": 0.28,
      "Race to the WH": 0.213,
      "VoteHub": 0.281,
      "Silver Bulletin": 0.325,
      "270toWin Consensus": 0.25,
      "Sabato's Crystal Ball": 0.25,
      "Cook Political Report": 0.25,
      "Inside Elections": 0.4,
      "Fox News": 0.1
    },
    "wrong": 13,
    "of": 14
  },
  "nvGovForecasterMatrix": {
    "code": "NV-GOV",
    "type": "governor",
    "winner": "DEM",
    "m": 6.96,
    "p": {
      "ElectIndex": 0.778,
      "Kalshi": 0.825,
      "Polymarket": 0.765,
      "Decision Desk HQ": 0.57,
      "Race to the WH": 0.438,
      "VoteHub": 0.577,
      "Silver Bulletin": 0.527,
      "270toWin Consensus": 0.5,
      "Sabato's Crystal Ball": 0.75,
      "Cook Political Report": 0.5,
      "Inside Elections": 0.5,
      "Fox News": 0.5
    },
    "wrong": 1,
    "of": 12
  },
  "nvPostmortemMap": [
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      "NV-GOV",
      "g",
      0.778,
      4.2,
      6.96,
      "called",
      "a",
      "Aaron Ford",
      "Joe Lombardo",
      "DEM",
      "REP",
      92.4,
      false,
      false,
      false,
      6.96
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      "NV-01",
      "h",
      0.997,
      19.3,
      21.0,
      "called",
      "a",
      "Dina Titus",
      "Carrie Buck",
      "DEM",
      "REP",
      89.2,
      false,
      false,
      false,
      21.0
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      "NV-02",
      "h",
      0.527,
      0.4,
      5.87,
      "called",
      "a",
      "Teresa Benitez-Thompson",
      "David Flippo",
      "DEM",
      "REP",
      96.1,
      false,
      false,
      false,
      5.87
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      "h",
      0.994,
      15.9,
      20.54,
      "called",
      "a",
      "Susie Lee",
      "Marty O'Donnell",
      "DEM",
      "REP",
      89.5,
      false,
      false,
      false,
      20.54
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    [
      "NV-04",
      "h",
      0.998,
      21.5,
      21.88,
      "called",
      "a",
      "Steven Horsford",
      "Cody Whipple",
      "DEM",
      "REP",
      91.7,
      false,
      false,
      false,
      21.88
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  ],
  "nvSwingPts": [
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      19.3,
      1.7,
      0.241,
      89.2
    ],
    [
      "NV-02",
      0.4,
      5.47,
      0.282,
      96.1
    ],
    [
      "NV-03",
      15.9,
      4.64,
      0.333,
      89.5
    ],
    [
      "NV-04",
      21.5,
      0.38,
      0.2,
      91.7
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  ],
  "racesSummary": [
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
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      "district": "GOV",
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      "incumbent_party": "REP",
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      "rep_prob": "22.2",
      "rating": "Likely D",
      "lean": "-1.57",
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      "fundamentals": "7.98",
      "fundraising": "0.47",
      "candidates": "0.85",
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      "pres_2024": "-3.15",
      "swing_24_26": "7.3",
      "rcv": "False",
      "threeway": "False",
      "oth_party": "IND",
      "rcv_field": "0",
      "rcv_winner_name": "",
      "rcv_exhausted": "0.0",
      "ind_name": "Danielle Ford",
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      "ind_party_label": "Independent",
      "ind_pct": "3.26",
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      "cand2_name": "",
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      "dem_status": "confirmed",
      "rep_status": "confirmed",
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      "dem_coh": "1300000",
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      "dem_outside": "0",
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      "dem_small": "0",
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      "dem_self": "0",
      "rep_self": "0",
      "ind_self": "0",
      "dem_debt": "0",
      "rep_debt": "0",
      "ind_debt": "0",
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      "dem_votes": "523453",
      "rep_votes": "481740",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "ind_votes": "33874",
      "total_votes": "1039067"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-01",
      "race_type": "house",
      "state": "NV",
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      "dem_name": "Dina Titus",
      "rep_name": "Carrie Buck",
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      "incumbent_party": "DEM",
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      "rating": "Safe D",
      "lean": "6.05",
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      "fundamentals": "19.47",
      "fundraising": "-0.23",
      "candidates": "5.03",
      "demo_env": "0.79",
      "pres_2024": "2.3",
      "swing_24_26": "17.04",
      "rcv": "False",
      "threeway": "False",
      "oth_party": "IND",
      "rcv_field": "0",
      "rcv_winner_name": "",
      "rcv_exhausted": "0.0",
      "ind_name": "Afzal \"Bobby\" Khan",
      "ind_party": "IND",
      "ind_party_label": "Independent",
      "ind_pct": "2.48",
      "ind_prob": "0.0",
      "same_party": "",
      "cand2_name": "",
      "cand1_prob": "0.0",
      "dem_status": "confirmed",
      "rep_status": "confirmed",
      "poll_dem": "",
      "poll_rep": "",
      "poll_count": "0",
      "polling_avg": "",
      "polling_weight": "0.0",
      "dem_funds": "2055144",
      "rep_funds": "2632235",
      "ind_funds": "87344",
      "dem_coh": "202235",
      "rep_coh": "184263",
      "ind_coh": "350",
      "dem_outside": "167640",
      "rep_outside": "817036",
      "dem_spent": "2008273",
      "rep_spent": "2447972",
      "ind_spent": "86994",
      "dem_small": "89290",
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      "dem_pac": "1010258",
      "rep_pac": "223250",
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      "dem_debt": "0",
      "rep_debt": "23087",
      "ind_debt": "7166",
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      "rep_pct": "39.33",
      "oth_pct": "0.0",
      "dem_votes": "136554",
      "rep_votes": "92292",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "ind_votes": "5820",
      "total_votes": "234665"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-02",
      "race_type": "house",
      "state": "NV",
      "district": "02",
      "dem_name": "Teresa Benitez-Thompson",
      "rep_name": "David Flippo",
      "dem_party": "DEM",
      "rep_party": "REP",
      "incumbent_party": "",
      "seat_holder": "REP",
      "margin": "0.38",
      "dem_prob": "52.7",
      "rep_prob": "47.3",
      "rating": "Toss-up",
      "lean": "-11.77",
      "gcb": "7.83",
      "fundamentals": "-4.55",
      "fundraising": "-0.59",
      "candidates": "0.0",
      "demo_env": "-0.02",
      "pres_2024": "-14.26",
      "swing_24_26": "14.64",
      "rcv": "False",
      "threeway": "False",
      "oth_party": "OTH",
      "rcv_field": "0",
      "rcv_winner_name": "",
      "rcv_exhausted": "0.0",
      "ind_name": "Lynn Chapman",
      "ind_party": "OTH",
      "ind_party_label": "Independent American",
      "ind_pct": "10.92",
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      "cand2_name": "",
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      "dem_status": "confirmed",
      "rep_status": "confirmed",
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      "dem_outside": "2852991",
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      "dem_spent": "872618",
      "rep_spent": "2787661",
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      "dem_small": "179647",
      "rep_small": "83317",
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      "dem_pac": "158470",
      "rep_pac": "166999",
      "ind_pac": "0",
      "dem_self": "20000",
      "rep_self": "1848100",
      "ind_self": "0",
      "dem_debt": "50535",
      "rep_debt": "1779414",
      "ind_debt": "0",
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      "rep_pct": "44.37",
      "oth_pct": "0.0",
      "dem_votes": "131741",
      "rep_votes": "130735",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "ind_votes": "32176",
      "total_votes": "294652"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-03",
      "race_type": "house",
      "state": "NV",
      "district": "03",
      "dem_name": "Susie Lee",
      "rep_name": "Marty O'Donnell",
      "dem_party": "DEM",
      "rep_party": "REP",
      "incumbent_party": "DEM",
      "seat_holder": "DEM",
      "margin": "15.91",
      "dem_prob": "99.4",
      "rep_prob": "0.6",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "lean": "3.16",
      "gcb": "7.83",
      "fundamentals": "15.16",
      "fundraising": "0.21",
      "candidates": "3.88",
      "demo_env": "0.08",
      "pres_2024": "-0.75",
      "swing_24_26": "16.66",
      "rcv": "False",
      "threeway": "False",
      "oth_party": "OTH",
      "rcv_field": "0",
      "rcv_winner_name": "",
      "rcv_exhausted": "0.0",
      "ind_name": "Jon Kamerath",
      "ind_party": "OTH",
      "ind_party_label": "Independent American",
      "ind_pct": "2.31",
      "ind_prob": "0.0",
      "same_party": "",
      "cand2_name": "",
      "cand1_prob": "0.0",
      "dem_status": "confirmed",
      "rep_status": "confirmed",
      "poll_dem": "",
      "poll_rep": "",
      "poll_count": "0",
      "polling_avg": "",
      "polling_weight": "0.0",
      "dem_funds": "5942432",
      "rep_funds": "4864563",
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      "dem_coh": "931294",
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      "dem_outside": "1885915",
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      "dem_spent": "5477793",
      "rep_spent": "4680014",
      "ind_spent": "0",
      "dem_small": "300554",
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      "dem_pac": "1620738",
      "rep_pac": "334055",
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      "dem_self": "0",
      "rep_self": "3257000",
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      "dem_debt": "0",
      "rep_debt": "3235018",
      "ind_debt": "0",
      "dem_pct": "56.62",
      "rep_pct": "41.07",
      "oth_pct": "0.0",
      "dem_votes": "152641",
      "rep_votes": "110727",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "ind_votes": "6228",
      "total_votes": "269595"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-04",
      "race_type": "house",
      "state": "NV",
      "district": "04",
      "dem_name": "Steven Horsford",
      "rep_name": "Cody Whipple",
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      "rep_party": "REP",
      "incumbent_party": "DEM",
      "seat_holder": "DEM",
      "margin": "21.53",
      "dem_prob": "99.8",
      "rep_prob": "0.2",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "lean": "6.09",
      "gcb": "7.83",
      "fundamentals": "20.7",
      "fundraising": "0.87",
      "candidates": "5.12",
      "demo_env": "0.79",
      "pres_2024": "2.37",
      "swing_24_26": "19.16",
      "rcv": "False",
      "threeway": "False",
      "oth_party": "OTH",
      "rcv_field": "0",
      "rcv_winner_name": "",
      "rcv_exhausted": "0.0",
      "ind_name": "Russell Best",
      "ind_party": "OTH",
      "ind_party_label": "Independent American",
      "ind_pct": "2.54",
      "ind_prob": "0.0",
      "same_party": "",
      "cand2_name": "",
      "cand1_prob": "0.0",
      "dem_status": "confirmed",
      "rep_status": "confirmed",
      "poll_dem": "",
      "poll_rep": "",
      "poll_count": "0",
      "polling_avg": "",
      "polling_weight": "0.0",
      "dem_funds": "4077555",
      "rep_funds": "1217197",
      "ind_funds": "0",
      "dem_coh": "821833",
      "rep_coh": "66379",
      "ind_coh": "0",
      "dem_outside": "2323549",
      "rep_outside": "799480",
      "dem_spent": "3262013",
      "rep_spent": "1150817",
      "ind_spent": "0",
      "dem_small": "233476",
      "rep_small": "356043",
      "ind_small": "0",
      "dem_pac": "2211795",
      "rep_pac": "13000",
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      "dem_self": "0",
      "rep_self": "320119",
      "ind_self": "0",
      "dem_debt": "0",
      "rep_debt": "294026",
      "ind_debt": "0",
      "dem_pct": "59.22",
      "rep_pct": "38.24",
      "oth_pct": "0.0",
      "dem_votes": "142221",
      "rep_votes": "91835",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "ind_votes": "6100",
      "total_votes": "240155"
    }
  ],
  "cdProjectionsGov": [
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "dem_votes": "124732",
      "rep_votes": "102218",
      "ind_votes": "7648",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "234597",
      "margin": "9.92",
      "pres24": "2.27",
      "cd_code": "NV-01"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "dem_votes": "131286",
      "rep_votes": "153727",
      "ind_votes": "9605",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "294618",
      "margin": "-7.87",
      "pres24": "-14.26",
      "cd_code": "NV-02"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "dem_votes": "139487",
      "rep_votes": "121102",
      "ind_votes": "8782",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "269370",
      "margin": "7.06",
      "pres24": "-0.75",
      "cd_code": "NV-03"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "dem_votes": "127949",
      "rep_votes": "104694",
      "ind_votes": "7840",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "240482",
      "margin": "10.0",
      "pres24": "2.38",
      "cd_code": "NV-04"
    }
  ],
  "countyProjections": [
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32001",
      "dem_votes": "2472",
      "rep_votes": "6670",
      "ind_votes": "308",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "9450",
      "margin": "-45.93",
      "pres24": "-51.61",
      "white_pct": "73.4",
      "black_pct": "1.8",
      "hisp_pct": "11.5",
      "asian_pct": "2.8",
      "native_pct": "4.0",
      "pacific_pct": "0.4"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32003",
      "dem_votes": "385476",
      "rep_votes": "312717",
      "ind_votes": "23528",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "721721",
      "margin": "10.42",
      "pres24": "2.68",
      "white_pct": "43.3",
      "black_pct": "11.7",
      "hisp_pct": "27.5",
      "asian_pct": "11.2",
      "native_pct": "0.4",
      "pacific_pct": "0.8"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32005",
      "dem_votes": "8763",
      "rep_votes": "15310",
      "ind_votes": "811",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "24884",
      "margin": "-27.2",
      "pres24": "-33.58",
      "white_pct": "81.4",
      "black_pct": "0.4",
      "hisp_pct": "10.3",
      "asian_pct": "1.9",
      "native_pct": "1.4",
      "pacific_pct": "0.2"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32007",
      "dem_votes": "3648",
      "rep_votes": "11556",
      "ind_votes": "512",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "15716",
      "margin": "-52.01",
      "pres24": "-57.86",
      "white_pct": "67.0",
      "black_pct": "0.9",
      "hisp_pct": "22.3",
      "asian_pct": "1.1",
      "native_pct": "4.5",
      "pacific_pct": "0.2"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32009",
      "dem_votes": "60",
      "rep_votes": "252",
      "ind_votes": "10",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "322",
      "margin": "-61.74",
      "pres24": "-67.41",
      "white_pct": "75.3",
      "black_pct": "0.2",
      "hisp_pct": "18.1",
      "asian_pct": "0.7",
      "native_pct": "2.7",
      "pacific_pct": "0.0"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32011",
      "dem_votes": "92",
      "rep_votes": "605",
      "ind_votes": "23",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "720",
      "margin": "-73.71",
      "pres24": "-79.54",
      "white_pct": "84.6",
      "black_pct": "0.1",
      "hisp_pct": "9.0",
      "asian_pct": "0.1",
      "native_pct": "0.6",
      "pacific_pct": "0.2"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
      "county_fips": "32013",
      "dem_votes": "1355",
      "rep_votes": "4073",
      "ind_votes": "183",
      "oth_votes": "0",
      "total_votes": "5611",
      "margin": "-50.08",
      "pres24": "-56.39",
      "white_pct": "68.0",
      "black_pct": "0.8",
      "hisp_pct": "22.5",
      "asian_pct": "1.0",
      "native_pct": "3.1",
      "pacific_pct": "0.1"
    },
    {
      "race_code": "NV-GOV",
      "race_type": "governor",
      "state": "NV",
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